Michigan, USA: Marriage Equality By 2014?

Written by scott on May 19th, 2013

MichiganCould Michigan have full marriage equality by next year? Brian Dickerson at the Detroit Free Press thinks so:

A popular vote to repeal the ban — which could come as early as next year — would send a positive signal to gay and young people who regard the issue as a litmus test for tolerance and commitment to diversity. But a ballot initiative could pose a political challenge for Snyder and other Republican candidates walking the tightrope between the growing majority of Michiganders who support same-sex marriage and the dwindling-but-still-significant number of GOP voters who continue to oppose it. While the success of any repeal effort is far from guaranteed, a ballot initiative would make it difficult for GOP candidates to sidestep the issue, with predictable hazards for their prospects in both the August GOP primary and the November general.

Once again, as in New Jersey, we face the choice between putting our rights up to a public vote or facing probably years of political stalemate in the legislature. What do you think?

Find more articles and gay wedding resources in Michigan.

 

1 Comments so far ↓

  1. AFA-Michigan says:

    Since a two-thirds vote of both houses of the state Legislature would be required to place repeal of Michigan’s Marriage Protection Amendment on the ballot — something that will not happen — the only alternative is for opponents of the amendment to circulate petitions to gather the roughly half a million signatures of registered voters required to put repeal on the ballot.

    Notably, as did a recent Glengariff poll that prompted lots of media attention, a Gallup/CNN/USA Today poll conducted in mid-September 2004 also predicted that a majority of Michigan voters would vote against the marriage amendment. Six weeks later, nearly 60 percent of voters — including 2/3rds of blacks and 2/3rds of union members — voted in favor of the amendment.

    In 2009, a Democratic campaign consultant and pollster conducted a poll in which he gave respondents a sample ballot with multiple issues on it, which he said he’d found was the most accurate predictor of actual voter behavior.

    The result? Ninety percent of Republicans, 60 percent of independents, and 49 percent of Democrats voted “NO” on repealing Michigan’s Marriage Protection Amendment, i.e., voted to keep the amendment in place defining marriage as only between one man and one woman.

    With the advantage of having the “NO” vote, we’re confident that would be the result in 2014 or 2016 as well.

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